According to the OECD, in the long run, sharp minimum wage increases and changes to labour laws will lead to "inefficiently high labour costs".
For the Paris-based multilateral organisation, "it is also important to avoid reversing past labour market reforms, which could compromise a sustainable recovery."
These considerations are contained in the section dedicated to Portugal of the OECD economic forecasts, which point to a growth of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of 4.8 percent, 5.8 percent and 2.8 percent in 2021, 2022 and 2023, respectively.
The organisation led by Australian Mathias Cormann expects "significant job losses" in some sectors of the Portuguese economy, as "in other sectors vacancies are increasing, which cannot be easily filled due to discrepancies between jobs and qualifications".
"This reallocation of jobs could be facilitated by strengthening public employment services and training and requalification programmes", suggests the OECD.
As for employment, it will "increase slowly, as many jobs have been protected by job retention systems, and companies have responded by increasing working hours, at least initially".
The OECD forecasts did not include measures such as adjustments to IRS and "the increase in salaries in public administration", after the rejection of the Government's proposal for the State Budget for 2022.
The reversal of some of the labour legislation, as well as the increase in the minimum wage to values above those proposed by the Government (€705 in 2022), were at the centre of the debate that led to the rejection of the proposed state budget.
While I agree that the minimum wage in Portugal is hardly a liveable wage, raising it outright will only cause rising costs of living and unemployment which effectively nullify the effects of a higher minimum wage in the first place.
What we need is actually a lower tax rate; we would keep more of what we earn without the knock-on effects mentioned above.
Unfortunately, the socialists love to pass the buck onto the private sector while spending money irresponsibly on vanity projects like TAP, and this is one of the main reasons I'll be voting for Iniciativa Liberal in January.
By Quentin Ferreira from Lisbon on 07 Dec 2021, 07:40
The sooner the change in Government the better!!!!!!
By J from Lisbon on 07 Dec 2021, 10:47
Do you want people to suffer while another country benefits
By Stephen Aldous from UK on 07 Dec 2021, 20:31
Why the hell would you want working families
By Stephen Aldous from UK on 07 Dec 2021, 20:36